Abstract
Studies were conducted to estimate the impact of increase in temperature on number of generations of tobacco caterpillar, Spodoptera litura on peanut for seven different locations of various agro ecological zones of the country for baseline (1961 to 1990), present (1991 to 2005), near future (2021 to 2050) and distant future (2071 to 2098) climate change (A1B) scenarios. The daily minimum and maximum temperature (MinT and MaxT) records were used to obtain cumulative degree days (DD) for each generation of insect using a temperature threshold of 10°C. Faster accumulation of degree days will making it possible for one or two additional generations with shortened life cycle (completion of generation would be 5 to 6 days earlier) of S. litura was inferred for both near and distant-future climate change scenarios (CCS) compared to baseline and present periods, at all locations. The additional number of generations and variation in the generation time of S. litura across seven growing locations of India imply the definitive and differential impacts, respectively of the projected increasing temperature in the future CCS. Key words: Arachis hypogaea, climate change scenario, degree days, generation time, number of generation, Spodoptera litura.
Highlights
During this century, global mean temperature has been predicted to rise by 2 to 5°C
The work comprises of three components viz; (i) obtaining historical data and climate projections on daily temperature from respective grid points, (ii) computation of growing degree days (GDD) for completion of life cycle of S. litura based on the threshold temperature and (iii) estimation of the possible number of generations during crop season in the future projected climate by substituting the projections on the temperature using SRES A1B
The standard GDD approach was followed to estimate the number of generations of S. litura occurring on peanut during a crop season
Summary
Studies were conducted to estimate the impact of increase in temperature on number of generations of tobacco caterpillar, Spodoptera litura on peanut for seven different locations of various agro ecological zones of the country for baseline (1961 to 1990), present (1991 to 2005), near future (2021 to 2050) and distant future (2071 to 2098) climate change (A1B) scenarios. Faster accumulation of degree days will making it possible for one or two additional generations with shortened life cycle (completion of generation would be 5 to 6 days earlier) of S. litura was inferred for both near and distant-future climate change scenarios (CCS) compared to baseline and present periods, at all locations. The additional number of generations and variation in the generation time of S. litura across seven growing locations of India imply the definitive and differential impacts, respectively of the projected increasing temperature in the future CCS
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