Engineering Reliability and Risk in Water Resources.

Abstract

I. Introduction.- Water Engineering Reliability and Risk: A System Framework.- II. Reliability and Risk in Structures.- II.1 Design Concepts Based on Risk and Reliability of Structures for Uncorrelated Inputs.- Reliability in Hydraulic Design.- Engineering Risk in Regional Drought Studies.- Incidents and Failures of Hydraulic Structures Subject to Independent Floods.- Reliability of Hydraulic Structures Possessing Random Loading and Resistance.- Probabilistic Design of Water-Retaining Structures.- II.2 Risk Based Assessment of Dam Safety.- Use of Risk-Based Analysis in Making Decisions on Dam Safety.- A Comparison of Methods for Risk Assessment of Dams.- Risk Analysis Considerations for Dam Safety.- Consequences of the Failure of a Water Storage System.- III. Reliability and Risk in Water Supply Systems.- III.1 Water Supply Systems: Uncorrelated Inputs.- Reliability of Water Supply Systems.- Application of Models for Reliability Assessment in Reservoir Operation.- III.2 Water Supply Systems: Correlated Inputs.- The Return Period of a Reservoir System Failure.- Reliability in Multipurpose Reservoir Operation: Case Studies with Correlated Inflows.- Engineering Risk in Flood Studies Using Multivariate Partial Duration Series.- Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwater in a Problem of Environmental Protection: A Case in Salento Peninsula in Southern Italy.- IV. Reliability and Risk as Factors in Decision Making.- IV. 1 Elements of Uncertainty Analysis for Decision-Making.- The Impact of Catchment Modeling on Hydrologic Reliability.- Empirical and Causal Models in Hydrologic Reliability Analysis.- Elements of Bayesian Analysis of Uncertainty in Hydrological Reliability and Risk Models.- IV. 2 Applications and Advances.- Reliability Estimation of Underground Water Control Systems Under Natural and Sample Uncertainty.- Target-Related Reliability in Surface Water System Operation.- Bayesian Analysis: Further Advances and Applications.- IV. 3 Multicriterion and Conflict Analysis.- Risk Aspects in the Determination of Optimal Cropping Patterns Hiessl.- Reliability Aspects of Multicriterion Watershed Management.- A Min-Max Operating Rule for the Management of a Multipurpose Reservoir.- Formal Incorporation of Risk into Conflict Analysis.