Abstract
The safety regulations were document published in December 2010 with the name of Safety Management Manuel. After this year civil aviation accident rates have decreased dramatically. The purpose of this study is to find the reasons for civil aviation accidents by segmenting into the selected parameters in a 40-year time period starting from the crew resource management concept. These selected parameters are the number of passengers (billion), event date, investigation type, injury severity, aircraft damage, amateur-built, engine type, the purpose of flight, weather condition, and phase of flight. In the analysis, related to the purpose of flight, it is found that general aviation has a higher proportion according to accident and incident rates than other modules. In the phase of flight, it is found that the landing phase is the most frequent one among accident and incident rates. In the logistic regression analysis, the 1 unit change in the number of engines increases incident rates by 3.817 (OR) units according to accident rates. In light of this result, it can be said that when the number of engines is increased, the fatality of the events is decreased.
Highlights
In the literature part this paper is related to two general concepts
This research focuses on mainly 3 epochs of safety thinking in civil aviation as described by ICAO (Doc. 9859, 2013) and added the post-SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (SMS) era for an extra concentration to determine the changes in accident rates clearly to tie with those epochs
This paper aims to find out changes that began from technology, continued with human factors, organizational factors, and still in progress with cultural factors
Summary
The first one is the types of detection sensors and descriptions such as; technical era human factors era, organizational factors era, and Post-SMS Era. The second one is the support of disciplines to safety management evolution with the same eras. This paper is related to find the causes of civil aviation accidents into five stages which are specified as the periods of crew resource management. Research Purpose: The purpose of this study is to find the reasons for civil aviation accidents by segmenting into the selected parameters in a 40-year time period starting from the crew resource management concept. This research focuses on mainly 3 epochs of safety thinking in civil aviation as described by ICAO (Doc. 9859, 2013) and added the post-SMS era for an extra concentration to determine the changes in accident rates clearly to tie with those epochs. Matching the efforts with the results of the analysis about accident rates undoubtedly is expected to reveal the rights and the wrongs in the efforts to answer real-world safety management requirements
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