Abstract

Abstract. We present trajectory-based estimates of Ozone Depletion Potentials (ODPs) for very short-lived halogenated source gases as a function of surface emission location. The ODPs are determined by the fraction of source gas and its degradation products which reach the stratosphere, depending primarily on tropospheric transport and chemistry, and the effect of the resulting reactive halogen in the stratosphere, which is determined by stratospheric transport and chemistry, in particular by stratospheric residence time. Reflecting the different timescales and physico-chemical processes in the troposphere and stratosphere, the estimates are based on calculation of separate ensembles of trajectories for the troposphere and stratosphere. A methodology is described by which information from the two ensembles can be combined to give the ODPs. The ODP estimates for a species with a fixed 20 d lifetime, representing a compound like n-propyl bromide, are presented as an example. The estimated ODPs show strong geographical and seasonal variation, particularly within the tropics. The values of the ODPs are sensitive to the inclusion of a convective parametrization in the trajectory calculations, but the relative spatial and seasonal variation is not. The results imply that ODPs are largest for emissions from south and south-east Asia during Northern Hemisphere summer and from the western Pacific during Northern Hemisphere winter. Large ODPs are also estimated for emissions throughout the tropics with non-negligible values also extending into northern mid-latitudes, particularly in the summer. These first estimates, whilst made under some simplifying assumptions, show larger ODPs for certain emission regions, particularly south Asia in NH summer, than have typically been reported by previous studies which used emissions distributed evenly over land surfaces.

Highlights

  • It is well established that long-lived halocarbons (e.g. CFCs, HCFCs, solvents etc.) have contributed to the destruction of ozone in the stratosphere over at least the last 30 years (WMO, 2007)

  • Calculating Ozone Depletion Potentials (ODPs) for Very Shortlived Substances (VSLS) is challenging because the ODPs are expected to be strong functions of location and time of emission, implying the need for many calculations with different emission distributions

  • Calculations are needed with global 3-D models that represent both the tropospheric chemistry and transport processes that determine what fraction of the emitted halogen reaches the stratosphere, plus the stratospheric chemistry and transport processes that determine the resulting ozone depletion, but currently these are computationally expensive

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Summary

Introduction

It is well established that long-lived halocarbons (e.g. CFCs, HCFCs, solvents etc.) have contributed to the destruction of ozone in the stratosphere over at least the last 30 years (WMO, 2007). ODPs are most defined for substances with long atmospheric lifetimes (greater than about 6 months) For these substances, which are well mixed in the troposphere, the ODP is independent of the emission time and location. There is increasing interest in stratospheric ozone depletion due to halogen-containing substances with lifetimes of 6 months or less, conventionally called Very Shortlived Substances (VSLS) These are currently estimated to make a small contribution to the stratospheric chlorine loading (WMO, 2007) but a significant contribution to total stratospheric bromine, Bry. These are currently estimated to make a small contribution to the stratospheric chlorine loading (WMO, 2007) but a significant contribution to total stratospheric bromine, Bry This contribution has been inferred from stratospheric BrO data, independent estimates from upper tropospheric measurements of VSLS and modeling studies This contribution has been inferred from stratospheric BrO data, independent estimates from upper tropospheric measurements of VSLS and modeling studies (e.g. Dorf et al, 2008; Kerkweg et al, 2008a,b; Aschmann et al, 2009; Hossaini et al, 2010) and is estimated to be 3 to 8 ppt bromine out of a total Bry loading of 18 to Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union

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