Abstract

JN recent years, economists have presented empirical evidence that improvements in efficiency have accounted for most of the growth in aggregate output in the United States and many other countries during the past half century. Robert M. Solow has presented a Cobb-Douglas production function model in which he explicitly assumes that this increased efficiency (technical progress) is due to improvements which are embodied in new physical equipment.' The model is easily extended to the case in which improvements may be embodied in new physical equipment, or may be due to other causes (i.e., disembodied improvements).2 Furthermore, Solow has demonstrated that the explicit assumption that technical progress must be embodied in new physical equipment can be incorporated in a constant elasticity of substitution (CES) production function model.3 Such a model is more general than the embodied Cobb-Douglas model in that the latter implies that the elasticity of substitution is not only a constant, but also equal to one. Solow did not consider the case in which technical progress may also be disembodied, but again it is easy to incorporate this into the CES model. This will be done below. The purpose of this paper is to point out one striking difference between Solow's Cobb-Douglas, and his CES model, when it is assumed that technical progress may be either embodied or disembodied. Embodied technical progress in the Cobb-Douglas model has no influence on the elasticities of output with respect to labor and with respect to the net capital stock. In that model, it is not possible to isolate the influence of embodied technical progress from that of disembodied progress. In the case of the CES model, however, the elasticity of output with respect to capital relative to the elasticity with respect to labor is influenced by the rate of embodied progress. Another feature of the CES model is that it is possible to state output per labor unit as a function of the marginal product of labor, and of a time shift factor which is accounted for only by disembodied technical progress. Given these facts, given data on output, labor, and the net capital stock, and finally, given the assumption that labor and capital tend to be paid their marginal products, it is possible to obtain upper and lower bound estimates of the influence of embodied and disembodied progress on output. The procedure in this paper will be: first, to outline the derivation of the Cobb-Douglas model in which progress is assumed to be either embodied or disembodied; second, to describe the extension to the CES model; and third, to demonstrate how the CES model allows us to distinguish between the effects of embodied and disembodied progress on output, and to discuss some of the implications of the CES model.

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