Abstract
Predicting the scale of electric vehicles at different time is the basis for the power grid to effectively accept charging loads. The development of electric vehicles is not only affected by economy, technology and policy, but also affected by the factors from social networks. This paper proposes the electric vehicle purchase decision model considering the influences of technology, economy and society. A two-dimensional space is used to characterize the random influences of related economic and social groups on consumer decisions, which can dynamically simulate the interaction between social environment and consumer decisions. Thus, based on such two-dimensional social space, an electric vehicle scale evolution model is established, so that it can be used to analyze the impact of the structural characteristics of social networks on the scale evolution. A large community in Changsha is taken as an example to analyze the scale development trend of electric vehicles under different social networks. Case studies demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed methodology.
Highlights
Electric vehicles have become the main direction of developing new energy sources owing to the low pollution and the high environmental protection [1]
The facts are that the electric vehicle industry is in its infancy in China, the poor historical data support for electric vehicles and the different policies of various countries lead to the low reference value of international data [4], [5], which bring challenges to the electric vehicle scale prediction [6], [7]
This paper studies the influence of different social networks and social behaviors on the development of electric vehicles
Summary
Electric vehicles have become the main direction of developing new energy sources owing to the low pollution and the high environmental protection [1]. Z. Zhou et al.: Electric Vehicles Scale Evolution Model Considering Social Attributes were used to simulate the car purchase decision for different groups and to predict the development of electric vehicles in Iceland. CONSUMER SOCIAL EVOLUTION consumers’ attitudes towards the economic and social utility of electric vehicles can be reflected. In the two-dimensional space, the connection between consumers and related groups is defined as a dotted line Consumers have changed their attitudes towards electric vehicles after socializing with relevant groups.
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