Effects of urban form on air quality: A case study from China comparing years with normal and reduced human activity due to the COVID-19 pandemic

Abstract

This study explored the dynamic and complex relationships between air quality and urban form when considering reduced human activities. Applying the random forest method to data from 62 prefecture-level cities in China, urban form–air quality relationships were compared between 2015 (a normal year) and 2020 (which had significantly reduced air pollution due to COVID-19 lockdowns). Significant differences were found between these two years; urban compactness, shape, and size were of prime importance to air quality in 2020, while fragmentation was the most critical factor in improving air quality in 2015. An important influence of traffic mode was also found when controlling air pollution. In general, in the pursuit of reducing air pollution across society, the best urban forms are continuous and compact with reasonable building layouts, population, and road densities, and high forest area ratios. A polycentric urban form that alleviates the negative impacts of traffic pollution is preferable. Urban development should aim to reduce air pollution, and optimizing the effects of urban form on air quality is a cost-effective way to create better living environments. This study provides a reference for decision-makers evaluating the effects of urban form on air pollution emission, dispersion, and concentration in the post-pandemic era.