Abstract
Climatic patterns are expected to become more extreme, with changes in precipitation characterized by heavier rainfall and prolonged dry periods. Yet, most studies focus on persistent moderate changes in precipitation, limiting our understanding of how ecosystems will function in the future. We examined the effects of extreme changes in precipitation on leaf-level and ecosystem CO2 and H2O exchange of three native C4 bunchgrasses (Andropogon gerardii, Panicum virgatum, and Sorghastrum nutans) over 3years. Grasses were grown in three precipitation treatments: extreme dry, mean, and extreme wet based on historical rainfall records. After 3years, plants were 45% smaller in the extreme dry treatment relative to the mean and extreme high treatment, which did not differ. We also found that an extreme decrease in precipitation caused reductions of 55, 40, and 40% in leaf-level photosynthesis (Anet), stomatal conductance (gs), and water use efficiency (WUE), respectively. Extreme increases in precipitation inhibited leaf-level WUE, with a 44% reduction relative to the mean treatment. At the ecosystem level, both an extreme increase and decrease in precipitation reduced net CO2 and water fluxes relative to plants grown with mean levels of precipitation. Net water fluxes (ET) were reduced by an average of 74% in the extreme dry and extreme wet treatment relative to mean treatment; net carbon fluxes followed a similar trend, with average reductions of 68% (NEE) and 100% (Re). Unlike moderate climate change, extreme increases in precipitation may be just as detrimental as extreme decreases in precipitation in shifting grassland physiology.
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