Abstract

Understanding the influence of climate variability and fire characteristics in shaping postfire vegetation recovery will help to predict future ecosystem trajectories in boreal forests. In this study, I asked: (1) which remotely-sensed vegetation index (VI) is a good proxy for vegetation recovery? and (2) what are the relative influences of climate and fire in controlling postfire vegetation recovery in a Siberian larch forest, a globally important but poorly understood ecosystem type? Analysis showed that the shortwave infrared (SWIR) VI is a good indicator of postfire vegetation recovery in boreal larch forests. A boosted regression tree analysis showed that postfire recovery was collectively controlled by processes that controlled seed availability, as well as by site conditions and climate variability. Fire severity and its spatial variability played a dominant role in determining vegetation recovery, indicating seed availability as the primary mechanism affecting postfire forest resilience. Environmental and immediate postfire climatic conditions appear to be less important, but interact strongly with fire severity to influence postfire recovery. If future warming and fire regimes manifest as expected in this region, seed limitation and climate-induced regeneration failure will become more prevalent and severe, which may cause forests to shift to alternative stable states.

Highlights

  • Introduction“resisters” dominate the light taiga of Siberia and cover about 20% of global boreal forests, little research has been conducted to investigate the mechanisms that determine postfire vegetation recovery

  • Key Laboratory of Forest Ecology and Management, Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, 110164, China

  • The results show that ecosystem structure is more strongly correlated with short-wave infrared (SWIR)-based vegetation indices (e.g., Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)) than with Red/NIR-based vegetation indices (NDVI), suggesting that SWIR-based vegetation indices are better indicators for postfire vegetation recovery in boreal Larch forests

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Summary

Introduction

“resisters” dominate the light taiga of Siberia and cover about 20% of global boreal forests, little research has been conducted to investigate the mechanisms that determine postfire vegetation recovery. The potential of SWIR-based vegetation indices for measuring vegetation recovery has not yet been fully explored[29] The objective of this analysis is to explore the potential roles of climate variability and fire characteristics in controlling the short-term (~5 years) vegetation recovery in a “resister”-dominated Dahurian Larch (Larix gmelini) forest in a climate- and fire-sensitive region of Northeastern China. The central hypothesis is that climate variability is the primary determinant of postfire vegetation recovery in this region In this study, this hypothesis is tested by investigating postfire vegetation recovery with varying climatic conditions and fire characteristics across a large spatiotemporal scale using a remote sensing approach. This study will elucidate the role of changing fire regimes and climate in shaping vegetation recovery and contribute to the understanding of fire-vegetation-climate interactions in a globally important, but poorly-understood boreal forest

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