Effectiveness Evaluation of Medium-sized Carrier Rockets Based on ADC Method

Abstract

Using scientific evaluation methods to evaluate the mission effectiveness and cost-efficiency of rockets is one of the important topics in the development of rocket models. Aiming at the problem that the effectiveness evaluation of carrier rockets cannot be quantitatively analyzed, this paper takes the medium-sized carrier rockets, covering both new and old generation ones in service, as the object of establishing a simplified inherent capability index system. The ADC method is utilized to quantitatively evaluate the availabilities, dependabilities, and capabilities of various types of rockets and calculates the corresponding effectiveness and cost efficiencies when performing launch missions in LEO, GTO, and SSO orbits. The results show that Model II has excellent mission effectiveness, which is particularly suitable for medium and high orbit missions; the cost-efficiency of Model III is as good as that of the former, and it can complete many tasks; but Model I is outdated.