Abstract
The computer simulation model proposed in this study enables a policy planner in a developing country to assess the contribution of new marine transportation technology to the national economy, and to find an optimal scheme for introducing the new technology. The simulation model consists of the national economic cycle submodel (econo-submodel) and the maritime industry technology submodel (techno-submodel). The econo-submodel, which utilizes input-output analysis, can evaluate the multiplying effects on the national economy of preferential investments in the marine transportation system. The techno-submodel may be characterized as a production planning model for the marine transportation system. The techno-submodel is also furnished with several functions such as (1) forecasting the demand for marine transportation, (2) optimizing the merchant marine fleet, (3) planning the development of port facilities, (4) planning the service of ship repairing, and (5) deciding on feasible investment under several co...
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