Abstract
This study aimed to evaluate the economic and financial viability of the creation of Nellore cattle in feedlot in Brazil. To do so, we performed a meta-analysis of productive data of Brazilian research published in the last ten years, and before the data, simulated to economic analysis. Three scenarios were simulated, the first according to projections of commodity prices, the second with a reduction of 10% of those prices and the third with an increase of 10%. In first scenario the termination provided positive net income, with total factor productivity (TFP) of R$ 1.04. On the other hand, with the increase of 10% of the costs of production, there is an income and a negative rate of return. On the other hand, with a reduction of 10% of the costs of production, the system will only 1,289 animals and, at the same time, the TFP shall be 1.16, with a return rate of 16.32%. We observed payback with values of less than one year, but with an increase of 10% on the cost with feeding all indicators were negative. Sensitivity analyzes showed that in most scenarios evaluated, only in situations more unfavorable economic performance indicators were not attractive. A meta-analysis of data from the termination of bovine animals shows that, before the current scenario, the price of commodities provides favorable economic indices, but with a negative variation of 10% on the price of the same, the indicators are to be negative, even with the price of the @ remaining stable.
Highlights
In the year 2018 the production of beef in Brazil was around 10.96 million tonnes carcass equivalent (TCE), 12.8% above 2017
As the cost of labor, we considered the maintenance of five employees in permanent regime to manage three batches of 500 head per year, with initial body weight of 200+30 kg and slaughter weight of 450+30 kg
The cost to feed a flock with 1,500 animals is R$ $ 1,916,550.00, being most intended for the purchase of corn silage (R$ 810,000.00) and soybean (R$ 572,400.00) which corresponds to 42.26% and 29.87%, respectively
Summary
In the year 2018 the production of beef in Brazil was around 10.96 million tonnes carcass equivalent (TCE), 12.8% above 2017. This result is derived from the rearing systems used throughout the national territory. A large part of the cattle reared in Brazil is of Nelore breed or Anelorados, who passed through an intense genetic improvement in order to achieve satisfactory results for the production of meat (Abiec, 2018). Brazil is configured as a major producer of beef, having as characteristic of production, animals from pastures, having a competitiveness of the livestock areas with agriculture. The forage production is characterized by a seasonality of production, which provides food concentration at certain times of the year. The confinement may be used as an integrated technology to other phases of the system, providing indirect benefits within a system of full cycle, or as isolated technology, i.e., aiming to take advantage of the direct benefits
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