Dynamics and profiles of a degenerated reaction–diffusion host-pathogen model with apparent and inapparent infection period

Abstract

Inapparent infection plays an important role in the disease spread, which is an infection by a pathogen that causes few or no signs or symptoms of infection in the host. Many pathogens, including HIV, typhoid fever, and coronaviruses such as COVID-19 spread in their host populations through inapparent infection. In this paper, we formulated a degenerated reaction–diffusion host-pathogen model with multiple infection period. We split the infectious individuals into two distinct classes: apparent infectious individuals and inapparent infectious individuals, coming from exposed individuals with a ratio of (1−p) and p, respectively. Some preliminary results and threshold-type results are achieved by detailed mathematical analysis. We also investigate the asymptotic profiles of the positive steady state (PSS) when the diffusion rate of susceptible individuals approaches zero or infinity. When all parameters are all constants, the global attractivity of the constant endemic equilibrium is established. It is verified by numerical simulations that spatial heterogeneity of the transmission rates can enhance the intensity of an epidemic. Especially, the transmission rate of inapparent infectious individuals significantly increases the risk of disease transmission, compared to that of apparent infectious individuals and pathogens in the environment, and we should pay special attentions to how to regulate the inapparent infectious individuals for disease control and prevention, which is consistent with the result on the sensitive analysis to the transmission rates through the normalized forward sensitivity index. We also find that disinfection of the infected environment is an important way to prevent and eliminate the risk of environmental transmission.