Abstract
Refer to each stage of the investment in intelligent control firms, the risk is a dynamic system with complexity for the uncertain factors existing in the process of risk estimation. Through the analysis on the risk of the investment in intelligent control firms, this article constructs a dynamic model of intelligent control firms risk estimation, which is characterized by multi-stage, multi-factor and multi-actors, with the integration of many influence factors such as the attitude of risk estimator. Moreover, based on the method of D-S evidential reasoning method, this model could transform those qualitative indexes with influence on risk into the quantitative indexes, which has the advantage to reasonably and synthetically estimate the dynamic risk of the investment in the intelligent control firms.
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