Abstract

In the transportation sector, new energy vehicles (NEVs) are critical to reduce CO2 emissions in the context of carbon neutralization. The study of dynamic evaluation and regional difference analysis is helpful to the NEV industry development in policy design and industrial planning. In this study, based on the provincial data in China from 2016 to 2020, the grey target model and Dagum Gini coefficient method are employed for the dynamic evaluation and regional differences of the NEV industry development. The results were as follows: (1) The overall and provincial level of the NEV industry development showed an increasing pattern. The bull’s eye degrees of Guangdong, which had the best development, were 0.4884, 0.5361, 0.6067, 0.6787, and 0.7047 during the study period. (2) The regional differences in the NEV industry development were significant. The east region had the best development, followed by the middle, the west, and the northeast regions. The intra-regional differences were expanding with different annual growth rates. (3) The inter-regional differences between the east and the other three regions were the largest. The regional differences in the NEV development are mainly derived from inter-regional dereference. (4) The D1, D2, and D3 dimensions all contributed significantly to provinces with higher levels of development, while the D4 dimension contributed significantly to provinces with lower levels of development. Based on these results, different provinces should take differentiated development strategies and enhancement paths to promote their NEV industry development.

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