Drosophila melanogaster pigmentation demonstrates adaptive phenotypic parallelism but genomic unpredictability over multiple timescales.

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Shifts in global climate conditions have heightened our need to understand the dynamics and pace of adaptation in natural populations. In order to anticipate the population-level response to rapidly changing environmental conditions, we need to understand whether trait evolution is predictable over short timescales, and whether the genetic basis of adaptation is shared or distinct across multiple timescales. Here, we explored parallelism in the adaptive response of a complex phenotype, D. melanogaster pigmentation, to shared conditions that varied over multiple spatiotemporal scales. Our results demonstrate that while phenotypic adaptation proceeds as a predictable response to environmental gradients, even over short timescales, the genetic basis of the adaptive response is variable and nuanced across spatial and temporal contexts.