Does Nominal Devaluation Precede Real Devaluation? The Case of The Philippines

Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the link between nominal devaluation and real devaluation with special reference to the Philippines. In doing so, we have used log linear relationship between the variables and have employed some sophisticated tests such as Ng–Perron unit root test, autoregressive distributive lag model, and dynamic ordinary least squares test for the long run correlation. The findings of the study with the Philippino quarterly data suggest that not only in the long run, but also in the short run, nominal devaluation leads to real devaluation.