Abstract

The high rewards people desire are often unlikely. Here, we investigated whether decision-makers exploit such ecological correlations between risks and rewards to simplify their information processing. In a learning phase, participants were exposed to options in which risks and rewards were negatively correlated, positively correlated, or uncorrelated. In a subsequent risky choice task, where the emphasis was on making either a ‘fast’ or the ‘best’ possible choice, participants’ eye movements were tracked. The changes in the number, distribution, and direction of eye fixations in ‘fast’ trials did not differ between the risk–reward conditions. In ‘best’ trials, however, participants in the negatively correlated condition lowered their evidence threshold, responded faster, and deviated from expected value maximization more than in the other risk–reward conditions. The results underscore how conclusions about people’s cognitive processing in risky choice can depend on risk–reward structures, an often neglected environmental property.

Highlights

  • More options with explicitly stated risks and rewards (e.g., “Do you prefer $30 for sure or $40 with a probability of .8?”)

  • We report the mean of the posterior distribution of the parameter or statistic of interest and two-sided, symmetric 95% credible intervals (CI) around each value

  • We investigated how risk–reward structures impact attentional processes in decisions under risk under different processing constraints

Read more

Summary

Introduction

More options with explicitly stated risks and rewards (e.g., “Do you prefer $30 for sure or $40 with a probability of .8?”). In decisions from experience people have been shown to sample less information about possible outcome distributions in decisions from experience (Hertwig 2015) when a choice environment displays the typically negative relationship between risks and rewards compared to when risks and rewards are positively related, or uncorrelated (Hoffart et al 2018). Recurrent statistical regularities in the environment such as the risk–reward relationship may empower the reliance on less information: if risks and rewards are inversely related, payoff and probability information can operate as probabilistic cues that can inform or substitute each other. We extend this notion to a context in which time pressure leaves a person little choice but to process fewer pieces of information and substitutability permits an informed guess about information that can remain unattended

Methods
Results
Conclusion
Full Text
Published version (Free)

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call