Abstract

Abstract AIMS Establish prevalence at diagnosis, and incidence of BM in patients with advanced and metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), stratified by genomic alterations. METHOD A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO ID CRD42022315915). Three databases were searched (Search date 30th April 2022). Prevalence at diagnosis, and per-patient year incidence of brain metastases were obtained, including patients with EGFR, ALK, KRAS, ROS1, RET, and other genomic alterations. Pooled incidence rates were calculated using random effects models. RESULTS Of 960 articles identified, 65 were included (24,784 patients). The combined BM prevalence at diagnosis was 28.6% (45 studies, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 26.1-31.0). Median follow-up was 24 months (Interquartile range [IQR] 16-36 months). The combined incidence of BM development was 10.8% per year (40 studies, 95% CI 9.2- 12.6). The per-year incidence of new BM was 15.6%/year in the EGFR +ve group (16 studies, 95% CI 11.4-21.2), 17.0% in the ALK+ve group (7 studies, 95% CI 11.3-25.8), 9.8% in the KRAS +ve group (4 studies, 95% CI 5.5-17.5), 12.5% in the ROS1 +ve group (3 studies, 95% CI 5.7-27.6), and 11.8% in the RET +ve group (2 studies, 95% CI 8.0-17.5). Combined overall prevalence was 55.0% (21 studies, IQR 44.2-67.8). CONCLUSIONS This systematic review indicates a high rate of brain metastases in NSCLC and is the first and only study to describe incidence, stratified by genomic alterations. This will have a major clinical impact by stratifying brain imaging at staging and follow-up by patient subgroup, particularly in ALK and EGFR mutations.

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