Abstract

Abstract BACKGROUND Lung cancer is the most common cause of cancer deaths worldwide. Development of brain metastases (BM) in patients with advanced (Stage III) and metastatic (Stage IV) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is linked with poor prognosis. Identifying mutations associated with BM development could influence screening and determine targeted treatment paradigms. We aimed to establish BM prevalence and incidence in patients with advanced and metastatic NSCLC, stratified by genomic alterations. MATERIAL AND METHODS A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO ID CRD42022315915). Three databases were searched, and articles published between January 2000-May 2022 included (Search date 30th April 2022). Prevalence at diagnosis, and incidence of new BM per year were obtained, including patients with EGFR, ALK, KRAS, ROS1, RET, MET, and other genomic alterations. Pooled incidence rates were calculated using random effects models. RESULTS Of 960 articles identified, 65 were included in the study (24,784 patients). Pooled BM prevalence at diagnosis was 28.6% (45 studies, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 26.1-31.0), and highest in patients with ALK (34.9%) and RET translocations (32.2%). With a median follow-up of 24 months, the per-year incidence of new BM was 12.5% in the wild-type group (14 studies, 95% CI 10.9-15.9). Incidence in the subgroups with different genomic alterations was 15.6% in the EGFR group (16 studies, 95% CI 11.4-21.2), 17.0% in the ALK group (6 studies, 95% CI 11.3-25.8), 9.8% in the KRAS group (4 studies, 95% CI 5.5-17.5), 12.5% in the ROS1 group (3 studies, 95% CI 5.7-27.6), and 11.8% in the RET group (2 studies, 95% CI 8.0-17.5). At the end of the follow-up period, a median of 55.0% of patients had BM (IQR 44.2-67.8). CONCLUSION This is the first study to show prevalence, and incidence of BM development in advanced and metastatic NSCLC, stratified by genomic alterations. Our data indicates a higher prevalence and incidence of BM in patients with targetable genomic alterations. This supports brain imaging at staging and follow-up, underlining the need for NSCLC therapies with brain penetrance and efficacy.

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