Disproportions of Supply and Demand in the Personnel Reproduction System for the Transport Industry

Abstract

The modern system of personnel training for the transport industry has undergone significant changes after the collapse of the mechanism of graduates’ distribution and the transition to a three-level model of training in higher education. The permanent crisis in the educational environment has led to the emergence of supply and demand imbalances. The article analyzes the needs of the transport industry in the context of each segment (automobile, railway, water, air) and assesses the capabilities of the personnel training system for working in transport. The universities’ subordination has influenced the percentage of specialization of each of them and the share of students at the expense of budget allocations. The determination of the coefficients of paired regression shows a direct and quite a strong connection between the indicated parameters. The market capacity of the transport industry is assessed, showing that currently there are employees of aviation enterprises in excess. The other sectors are more or less deficient. The cohort-component method forecasts an even greater demographic deficit in the long term. There are generalized the results of personnel training by universities subordinate to the Ministry of Transport of the Russian Federation, as well as some quantitative parameters of the needs of transport enterprises.This research is an attempt to explain the imbalance between the demands of the transport industry and the capabilities of the higher education system. What seems practically important is that the study specifies the emerging disproportion in the context of individual sectors of the transport industry. This approach will probably allow the reader to make system management decisions for coordinating the educational process participants’ actions.