Abstract

To examine the value of tumor size, weight, and density in predicting pathological tumor stage in patients with suspected bladder cancer (BCa), minimize interobserver variability of estimated tumor size, and thus provide a more objective instrument to describe the extent of local tumor growth. An institutional dataset of 588 consecutive patients undergoing TUR-BT for suspected BCa from 05/2016 - 09/2018 was used. Separate Mann-Whitney-U tests examined differences in each unit between non-muscle-invasive (NMIBC) and muscle-invasive BCa (MIBC) and between Ta/CIS and T1 NMIBC. Intraoperative tumor size, weight, and respective density were calculated. We then calculated multivariable logistic regression models to examine each unit's predictive value and distinguish between endpoints. Overall, 367 patients undergoing TUR-BT were diagnosed with BCa. In patients with MIBC (n=73), the median size (p<0.001) and weight (p<0.001) were higher compared to NMIBC. In contrast, tumor density (p<0.001) was lower. On multivariable analysis, increasing size and weight were associated with higher odds of T1 (size: OR 2.50, 95%CI 1.87-3.35; weight: OR 1.65, 95%CI 1.26-2.15) and muscle-invasive disease (size: OR 1.51, 95%CI 1.29-1.78; weight: OR 1.09, 95%CI 1.03-1.15). Meanwhile, an increasing density was associated with lower odds of both outcomes (T1:OR 0.96, 95%CI 0.89-1.02; MIBC: OR 0.81, 95%CI 0.69-0.96). In patients diagnosed with BCa, tumor size, and weight showed similar predictive power concerning T1 NMIBC and MIBC. Tumor density failed to predict the local tumor stage sufficiently. These results may lay the foundation for improving objective measurement of the local tumor burden in patients with BCa and may help guide further immediate treatment decisions.

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