Abstract

Background Wilms tumor (WT) is highly curable, although anaplastic histology or relapse imparts a worse prognosis. Nephrogenic rests (NR) associated with a high risk of developing WT are abnormally retained embryonic kidney precursor cells. Methods After pseudo-time analysis using single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data, we generated and validated a WT differentiation-related gene (WTDRG) signature to predict overall survival (OS) in children with a poor OS. Results A differentiation trajectory from NR to WT was identified and showed that hypodifferentiated subsets of NR could differentiate into WT. Classification of WT children with anaplastic histology or relapse based on the expression patterns of WTDRGs suggested that patients with relatively high levels of hypodifferentiated NR presented a poorer prognosis. A WTDRG-based risk model and a clinically applicable nomogram was developed. Conclusions These findings may inform oncogenesis of WT and interventions directed toward poor prognosis in WT children of anaplastic histology or relapse.

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