Different response of alpine meadow and alpine steppe to climatic and anthropogenic disturbance on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

Climate change and anthropogenic disturbance are two main drivers for vegetation dynamics on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP). Alpine meadow and alpine steppe are the primary rangeland ecosystem types on the QTP. However, the vegetation trends of the two land cover types and the underlying mechanisms behind their variation remain under debate. In this study, we used Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) 3g Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) (i.e., GIMMS NDVI3g) by coupling the Breaks for Additive Season and Trend (BFAST) model and the Boosted Regression Tree (BRT) model to analyze alpine meadow and alpine steppe vegetation trends on the QTP between 1982 and 2015. We also assessed vegetation variation response to climatic and anthropogenic indicators in conjunction with climatic and human footprint datasets. Results show that growing season NDVI (GSNDVI) values increased overall for both alpine meadow (0.0001 year−1, p = 0.33) and alpine steppe (0.0002 year−1, p < 0.05) throughout 1982–2015. Significant greening trends in both alpine meadow (0.0007 year−1; p < 0.05) and alpine steppe (0.0005 year−1; p < 0.05) ecosystems were obtained before 1998 and 2001, respectively. However, browning trends ascertained by GSNDVI (−0.0006 year−1; p = 0.12) in alpine meadows were observed throughout 1998–2015, while greening trends ascertained by GSNDVI (0.0002 year−1; p = 0.12) in alpine steppes were observed throughout during 2001–2015. Opposing trends in precipitation, solar radiation, and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) occurred before and after breakpoints in both ecosystems. For the alpine meadow ecosystem, adverse precipitation trends caused browning before 1998 followed by greening after 1998 in the Three-River-Source National Park (TNP). Conversely, opposing changes in precipitation, solar radiation, and SPEI resulted in greening before 1998 followed by browning after 1998 in southern Tibet and the southeastern QTP. Alpine meadow vegetation trends were generally dominated by solar radiation before 1998 and jointly by precipitation and solar radiation after 1998. Prior to 2001 variation in alpine steppe greenness was controlled by precipitation, while after 2001 solar radiation dominated. Along with an increase in human footprint pressure (HFP) gradients, greenness trends gradually increased before 1998 but reversed after 1998 in the alpine meadow ecosystem. Additionally, greenness trends gradually decreased before 2001 but remained unchanged after 2001 for the alpine steppe ecosystem. These results highlight the different effects that climate change and anthropogenic disturbances have had on alpine meadow and alpine steppe ecosystems on the QTP over different time frames.