Did Feds Rate Policy Benefit U.S. Company: Evidence from Tesla

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy on American companies, taking Tesla as evidence. Data on the Tesla stock as well as the USD/RMB exchange rate for the previous year were gathered. The impact of a rising exchange rate on companies goes in two directions. On the one hand, the appreciation of the dollar means the depreciation of foreign operating income, and the depreciation of the domestic currency is bad for exports. On the other hand, it will affect how the stock market operates. An increase in dollar holdings in international financial markets would increase the demand for stocks, which would increase stock prices. The conclusion is that the Fed's interest rate policy to control inflation in the United States has, to some extent, come at the expense of stock market growth. The VAR model and ARMA-GARCH model were used to model and analyze the data, and forecast the trend of the company's stock price, then make recommendations for policymakers and investors. For policymakers, it is necessary to adjust the policy appropriately to minimize the volatility of stock market returns, and investors should turn to assets with lower risk instead of blindly investing.