Abstract

Background: Advanced diastolic dysfunction (DDys) correlates with elevated LV filling pressures and predicts heart failure readmission (HF-R). As grade 2-3 DDys has predictive value for HF-R, and requires 2 of 3 criteria (left atrial volume index >34 ml/m2, E/e’>14, or tricuspid regurgitation velocity >2.8 m/s), we hypothesized that all 3 criteria would predict greater HF risk than any 2 criteria. Methods: In this single-center retrospective study that included 380 patients in sinus rhythm with HF and reduced ejection, we recorded patient characteristics, Doppler-echo, and HF-R with follow-up to 2167 days (median=1423 days; interquartile range=992-1821 days). Results: For grade 1 DDys (223 patients), any single criteria resulted in greater HF-R as compared to 0 criteria (HR=2.52, (1.56-3.88) p<0.0001) with an AUC (area under curve)=0.637, p<0.001. For grade 2 DDys (94 patients), there was greater HF-R for all 3 (vs. 0 criteria: HR=4.0 (2.90-8.36), p<0.0001). There was greater HF-R for 3 vs any 2 criteria (HR=1.81, (1.10-3.39), p=0.0222). For all 3 criteria, there was moderate predictability for HF-R (AUC=0.706, p<0.0001) which was more predictive than any 2 criteria (AUC difference 0.057, (0.011-0.10), p=0.009). For grade 3 DDys (63 patients), E/A>2+2-3 criteria identified a subgroup with the greatest risk of HF-R (HR=5.03 (4.62-22.72), p<0.0001) compared with 0 DDys criteria with moderate predictability for 2-3 criteria (AUC=0.726, p<0.0001) exceeding E/A>2+0-1 criteria (AUC difference=0.120, (0.061-0.182), p<0.001). Conclusion: Increasing the number of abnormal criteria increased the risk and predictive value of HF-R for grade 1-3 DDys in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction.

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