DIAGNOSTICS OF INDUSTRY RELATIONSHIPS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF OPEN MONOSPECIALIZED REGIONS

Abstract

The relevance of the research is due to the need to identify and verify the structural relationships and changes in the economy of open regions specializing in metallurgical production that are affected by the effects of the “Dutch disease” (on the example of Chelyabinsk, Vologda, Lipetsk regions and Krasnoyarsk Krai). The policy of preserving the historically established model of the “Dutch disease” of the economy of regions with monospecializes of low technological redistribution can serve as a source of slowing down economic growth. The main goal of the authors is to determine the intersectoral relationships formed by the profile type of activity, taking into account their localization in the structure of the traded and non-traded sectors of the economy, which in modern conditions makes it possible to develop a model for the development of monospecialized regions. The estimation of interrelations in the economy of regions is offered on the basis of correlation analysis and construction of visualization models of the intensity and direction of interaction, which is considered by the authors as an early scanning tool for emerging “industry turns” at the preliminary stage of strategizing. This type of diagnostics helps to make informed smart decisions when adjusting strategic priorities, creates an analytical base for applying models of “smart specialization”, using competitive advantages of regions; it allows you to respond to existing restrictions and choose a unique development model: to preserve monospecialization or to form and support a multi-industry structure.