Diagnostic performance of the 0/2 hours ESC algorithm with high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T in an unselected community United States cohort

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Abstract Background There are no robust data addressing the United States (US) experience with the 0/2 hours (h) European Society of Cardiology (ESC) algorithm using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT). Purpose To evaluate the diagnostic performance of the 0/2h ESC-recommended absolute deltas in a US population. Methods Observational US cohort study of ED patients undergoing 0 and 2 h hs-cTnT measurements. The 99th percentiles upper reference limits (URL) used were 10 ng/L for women and 15 ng/L for men. Diagnostic outcomes were the adjudicated diagnoses of acute myocardial infarction (MI, type 1 or 2). Results A total of 1084 patients met inclusion criteria, amongst which 49% were women. Chest discomfort was reported in 521 (48%) patients. Among patients with a baseline hs-cTnT≤99th URL (n=434), 4 MIs occurred. To rule-out MI, an absolute 0-2h delta change <4 ng/L resulted in a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI: 39.8, 100) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% (95% CI: 99.1, 100). To rule-in MI, an absolute 0-2h delta ≥10 ng/L had a specificity of 99.8 % (95% CI: 98.7, 99.9) and positive predictive value (PPV) of 75% (95% CI: 19.4, 99.4). Among patients with a baseline hs-cTnT >99th URL (n=650), 110 MIs occurred. In these patients, both rule-out (sensitivity 65%, NPV 91%) and rule-in (specificity 7.2%, PPV 11%) were poor using the ESC-recommended absolute deltas. Among patients with modest hs-cTnT increases (99th URL to 100 ng/L) neither the ESC-recommended absolute nor the Fourth Universal Definition of MI (UDMI)-recommended relative deltas provided acceptable performance. Among patients with marked hs-cTnT increases at presentation (>100 ng/L), a relative delta change >20% as recommended by the UDMI resulted in a superior rule-in performance, with a specificity of 92.0% (95% CI 74.0, 99.0) and PPV of 84.6% (57.4, 95.7). Conclusions In our unselected US-cohort of patients undergoing hs-cTnT, the 0/2h ESC algorithm had a good diagnostic performance in patients without myocardial injury at presentation. Conversely, in patients with myocardial injury at baseline, the ESC-recommended absolute deltas performed poorly to determine who had MI. In patients with marked hs-cTnT increases >100 ng/L at presentation, the UDMI recommended 20% relative change showed good rule-in performance.