DHI-GHM: Real-time and forecasted hydrology for the entire planet

Abstract

An operational global hydrological model (DHI-GHM) has been developed that provides historical, real-time, 10-day and seasonal forecast simulations at the global scale. DHI-GHM is comprised of a distributed gridded rainfall-runoff model with a spatial resolution of 0.1° and an agile kinematic routing model that moves water between model grid cells and sub-catchments and in the river system. Model output includes gridded hydrological variables, such as soil moisture content and different runoff components, and discharge at more than 1 million river points globally. DHI-GHM uses a novel parameterization scheme, where global data products of land surface physical characteristics are used to establish relations with model parameters, and thus DHI-GHM does not rely on local discharge data for model calibration. Multiple forcing datasets were tested, and the combination of ERA5 precipitation and Priestley-Taylor potential evaporation yielded the overall best results with a median KGE of 0.51 and average water balance error of 0.78% based on data from 1667 discharge stations worldwide. The model results and the operational system are particularly relevant for organizations with national, regional, or global scope who need information on large areas at once and for data scarce areas or projects without resources for local scale models.