Development of age-estimation formula using postmortem oral findings: A pilot study.

Abstract

The goal of this pilot study was to develop an age-estimation formula and assess its effectiveness after evaluating individual intraoral findings. A total of 198 Japanese adults were included, and intraoral findings were collected from the corpses. To analyze the condition of each tooth, 20 items were established for intraoral findings, and seven tooth states were established. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the impact of age on each intraoral finding. Sequentially, linear regression was applied to verify the correlation between age and type of tooth, and multiple regression was used to correlate age-dependent factors. The intraoral findings with age dependency were tooth stump, edentulous jaw, attrition, no caries, dental prostheses, partial dentures, and complete dentures. Tooth stump, attrition, and dental prostheses showed positive multicollinearity. Missing tooth, extant tooth, normal teeth, and untreated lost teeth were age-correlated. Multiple regression analysis included age as the response variable and five factors as the explanatory variables in a new age-estimation formula, resulting in±10years for 86.96% of cases (60-69years old), 76.47% (70-79years old), and 61.05% of all cases. The multiple correlation was 0.551, and the contribution rate of the multiple regression formula was 0.304. The accuracy of the proposed age-estimation formula was within±10years for 61.05% of all subjects. However, the accuracy of age estimation in subjects aged 60-79years was excellent (76.47-86.96%), which showed that this age-estimation formula would be effective for estimating the age of middle-aged to older subjects.