Development and Validation of a Machine Learning–Based Model Using CT Radiomics for Predicting Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor-related Pneumonitis in Patients With NSCLC Receiving Anti-PD1 Immunotherapy: A Multicenter Retrospective Case[sbnd]Control Study

Abstract

This study aimed to develop and evaluate a radiomics-based model combined with clinical and qualitative radiological (semantic feature [SF]) features to predict immune checkpoint inhibitor-related pneumonitis (CIP) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with programmed cell death protein 1 inhibitors. This was a multicenter retrospective casecontrol study conducted from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2022, at three centers. Patients with NSCLC treated with anti-PD1 were enrolled and randomly divided into two groups (7:3): training (n=95) and validation (n=39). Logistic regression (LR) and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms were used to transform features into the models. The study comprised 134 participants from three independent centers (male, 114/134, 85%; mean [±standard deviation] age, 63.92 [±7.9]years). The radiomics score (RS) models built based on the LR and SVM algorithms could accurately predict CIP (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve [AUC], 0.860 [0.780, 0.939] and 0.861 [0.781, 0.941], respectively). The AUCs for the RS-clinic-SF combined model were 0.903 (0.839, 0.967) and 0.826 (0.688, 0.964) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Decision curve analysis showed that the combined models achieved high clinical net benefit across the majority of the range of reasonable threshold probabilities. This study demonstrated that the combined model constructed by the identified features of RS, clinical features, and SF has the potential to precisely predict CIP. The RS-clinic-SF combined model has the potential to be used more widely as a practical tool for the noninvasive prediction of CIP to support individualized treatment planning.