Abstract

The objective of this study is to investigate the statistical determinants of lottery applications for New Mexico elk hunting licenses from three different groups: (1) residents, (2) guided nonresidents, and (3) nonguided nonresidents. Relatively scant empirical information is available to game managers on the statistical determinants of lottery applications for elk hunting privileges, and what is available does not distinguish between groups. Given the count nature of lottery applications (i.e., non‐negative integers), we use a statistical technique that is designed to accommodate such data: the negative binomial regression model. Results indicate that changes in hunt characteristics either simultaneously increase or decrease applications across groups, with the exception of bow hunts. Also of note, bow hunts and mature bull hunts are statistically significant determinants of lottery applications for nonresidents and especially so for guided nonresidents.

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