Dense Temperature Mapping and Heat Wave Risk Analysis Based on Multisource Remote Sensing Data

Abstract

As high temperature and heat wave have become great threats to human survival, social stability, and ecological safety, it is of great significance to master the spatial and temporal dynamic changes of temperature to prevent high temperature and heat wave risks. The meteorological station can provide accurate near ground temperature, but only within a specific space and time. In order to meet the needs of large-scale research, spatial interpolation methods were widely used to obtain spatially continuous temperature maps. However, these methods often ignore the influence of external factors on temperature, such as land cover, height, etc., and neglect to supplement temporal-wise information. To deal with these issues, a joint spatio-temporal method is proposed to obtain dense temperature mapping from multi-source remote sensing data, which combining a geographically weighted regression (GWR) model and a polynomial fitting model. Besides, a heat wave risk model is also built based on the dense temperature maps and population data, in order to evaluate the heat wave risk of different areas. Accuracy evaluations and experiments have verified the effectiveness of the proposed methods. Case study on the four cities of Zhejiang Province, China have demonstrated that areas with higher degree of urbanization are often accompanied by higher heat wave risks, such as the northern part of the study area. The study also found that the heat wave risks have presented a centralized distribution and spatial autocorrelation characteristics in the study area.