Abstract

Introduction - Where are the democrats?, Ghassan Salame. Part 1 Hypotheses: democracy without democrats? - the potential for political liberalization in the Middle East, John Waterbury democratization in the Arab world - uncertainty, vulnerability and legitimacy - a tentative conceptualization and some hypotheses, Jean Leca small is pluralistic - democracy as an instrument of civil peace, Ghassan Salame populism contra democracy - recent democratist discourse in the Arab world, Aziz Al-Azmeh the oil rent, the fiscal crisis of the state and democratization, Giacomo Luciani demographic explosion or social upheaval?, Philippe Fargues. Part 2 Cases: socio-economic change and political mobilization - the case of Egypt, Roger Owen the integration of the integrists - a comparative study of Egypt, Jordan and Tunisia, Gudrun Kramer socio-economic change and political implications - the Maghreb, Abdelbaki Hermassi the private sector, economic liberalization, and the prospects of democratization - the case of Syria and some other Arab countries, Volker Perthes patronage and solidarity groups - survival or reformation?, Olivier Roy republican trajectories in Iran and Turkey - a Tocquevillian reading, Jean-Francois Bayart.

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