Abstract

Delirium has been associated with more rapid cognitive decline. However, it is unknown whether increased delirium severity is associated with a higher rate of long-term cognitive decline. To evaluate delirium severity and the presence and rate of cognitive decline over 36 months following surgery. We examined patients from the Successful Aging after Elective Surgery Study, who were age ≥70 years undergoing major elective surgery (N = 560). Delirium severity was determined by the peak Confusion Assessment Method-Severity (CAM-S) score for each patient's hospitalization and grouped based on the sample distribution: scores of 0-2, 3-7, and 8-19. A neuropsychological composite, General Cognitive Performance (GCP), and proxy-reported Informant Questionnaire for Cognitive Decline (IQCODE) were used to examine cognitive outcomes following surgery at 0, 1, and 2 months, and then every 6 months for up to 3 years. No significant cognitive decline was observed for patients with peak CAM-S scores 0-2 (-0.17 GCP units/year, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.35, 0.01). GCP scores decreased significantly in the group with peak CAM-S scores 3-7 (-0.30 GCP units/year, 95% CI -0.51, -0.09), and decreased almost three times faster in the highest delirium severity group (peak CAM-S scores 8-19; -0.82 GCP units/year, 95% CI -1.28, -0.37). A similar association was found for delirium severity and the proportion of patients who developed IQCODE impairment over time. Patients with the highest delirium severity experienced the greatest rate of cognitive decline, which exceeds the rate previously observed for patients with dementia, on serial neuropsychological testing administered over 3 years, with a dose-response relationship between delirium severity and long-term cognitive decline.

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