Abstract
Knowledge of spatiotemporal distribution of biodiversity is still very incomplete in the tropics. This is one of the major problems preventing the assessment and effectiveness of conservation actions. Mega-diverse tropical regions are being exposed to fast and profound environmental changes, and the amount of resources available to describe the distribution of species is generally limited. Thus, the tropics is losing species at unprecedented rates, without a proper assessment of its biodiversity. Species distribution models (SDMs) can be used to fill such biogeographic gaps within a species’ range and, when allied with systematic conservation planning (e.g. analyses of representativeness, gap analysis), help transcend such data shortage and support practical conservation actions. Within the Neotropics, eastern Amazon and northern Cerrado present a high variety of environments and are some of the most interesting ecotonal areas within South America, but are also among the most threatened biogeographic provinces in the world. Here, we test the effectiveness of the current system of Protected Areas (PAs), in protecting 24 threatened and endemic bird species using SDMs. We found that taxa with wider distributions are potentially as protected as taxa with smaller ranges, and larger PAs were more efficient than smaller PAs, while protecting these bird species. Nonetheless, Cerrado PAs are mostly misallocated. We suggest six priority areas for conservation of Neotropical birds. Finally, we highlight the importance of indigenous lands in the conservation of Neotropical biodiversity, and recommend the development of community management plans to conserve the biological resources of the region.
Highlights
The world is undergoing rapid and intense environmental changes that are, directly or indirectly, caused by human activities
We found that taxa with wider distributions are potentially as protected as taxa with smaller ranges, and larger Protected Areas (PAs) were more efficient than smaller PAs, while protecting these bird species
We considered two different approaches to estimate the proportion of protected area for each taxon, and species richness, and so to perform the statistical tests related to the gap analysis
Summary
The world is undergoing rapid and intense environmental changes that are, directly or indirectly, caused by human activities. Deposition of anthropogenic fixed nitrogenous substances, and the rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration related to climatic changes are or will be the main drivers of such alterations [1,2]. Under this scenario, high-quality species distributional data are essential to set efficient conservation actions [3,4,5]. High-quality species distributional data are essential to set efficient conservation actions [3,4,5] Those biogeographic information are often lacking, being one of the major setbacks preventing the assessment of need and effectiveness of these actions (the Wallacean shortfall) [4,6]. The tropics are losing species at unprecedented rates [15,16,17], often without properly identifying and describing their biodiversity (the Linnean shortfall) [4,18]
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