DElaying disease Progression In COPD with early escalation to Triple therapy – A Modelling Study (DEPICT-2)

Abstract

IntroductionIn patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), dual bronchodilator (long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA)/long-acting beta2-agonist (LABA)) and triple therapy (inhaled corticosteroid (ICS)/LAMA/LABA) reduce risk of exacerbations and lung function decline in short-mid-term, but their long-term impact is unknown. This modelling study explores long-term impact of these therapies on lung function decline, quality of life (QoL) and all-cause mortality.MethodsThis modelling approach used a longitudinal non-parametric superposition model using published data regarding exacerbations, QoL (assessed by St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ)), and mortality. The model simulated disease progression from 40 to 75 years of age and assessed the impact of initiating dual bronchodilator at age 45 years (“LAMA/LABA only” group) and escalation to triple therapy at age 50 years (“Escalation to triple” group) on forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) decline, QoL, and mortality.ResultsModel simulation predicted that by 75 years of age: “LAMA/LABA only” preserves 159.1 mL of FEV1versusno treatment, “Escalation to triple” preserves an additional 376.5 mL and 217.3 mL of FEV1versusno pharmacotherapy and “LAMA/LABA only”, respectively. In “LAMA/LABA only”, SGRQ score reduces (−3.2)versusno treatment, which further reduces to −7.5 therapy in “Escalation to triple”. In “LAMA/LABA only”, mortality reduces by 5.4% by 75 yearsversusno treatment, while the “Escalation to triple” shows further decrease in mortality by 12.0%.ConclusionEarly pharmacotherapy initiation and escalation from dual bronchodilator to triple therapy could slow disease progression by preserving lung function and improving QoL and survival in patients with COPD.