Abstract

Predicting Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of systems has played an important role in various fields of reliability engineering analysis, including in aircraft engines. RUL prediction is critically an important part of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM), which is the reliability science that is aimed at increasing the reliability of the system and, in turn, reducing the maintenance cost. The majority of the PHM models proposed during the past few years have shown a significant increase in the amount of data-driven deployments. While more complex data-driven models are often associated with higher accuracy, there is a corresponding need to reduce model complexity. One possible way to reduce the complexity of the model is to use the features (attributes or variables) selection and dimensionality reduction methods prior to the model training process. In this work, the effectiveness of multiple filter and wrapper feature selection methods (correlation analysis, relief forward/backward selection, and others), along with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) as a dimensionality reduction method, was investigated. A basis algorithm of deep learning, Feedforward Artificial Neural Network (FFNN), was used as a benchmark modeling algorithm. All those approaches can also be applied to the prognostics of an aircraft gas turbine engines. In this paper, the aircraft gas turbine engines data from NASA Ames prognostics data repository was used to test the effectiveness of the filter and wrapper feature selection methods not only for the vanilla FFNN model but also for Deep Neural Network (DNN) model. The findings show that applying feature selection methods helps to improve overall model accuracy and significantly reduced the complexity of the models.

Highlights

  • Modern computational capability has become more powerful over the past decades

  • The aircraft gas turbine engines data from NASA Ames prognostics data repository was used to test the effectiveness of the filter and wrapper feature selection methods for the vanilla

  • The findings show that applying feature selection methods helps to improve overall model accuracy and significantly reduced the complexity of the models

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Summary

Introduction

Modern computational capability has become more powerful over the past decades. This has induced a new trend of employing various data-driven models in many fields. The same challenge has applied to a certain type of aerospace data, which in this case, is the estimation of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of the aircraft gas turbine engines. The main purpose of this work is to prove the theory that a particular group or a set of prognostics features (attributes or variables) from the aircraft gas turbine engines data can be selected prior to the training phase of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) modeling in order to reduce the complexity of the model.

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