Deep learning hybrid predictions for the amount of municipal solid waste: A case study in Shanghai

Abstract

It is crucial to precisely estimate the municipal solid waste (MSW) amount for its sustainable management. Owing to learning complicated and abstract features between the factors and target, deep learning has recently emerged as one of the useful tools with potential to predict the MSW amount. Therefore, this study aimed to design an MSW amount predicted system in Shanghai, consisting of Attention (A), one-dimensional convolutional neural network (C), and long short-term memory (L), to investigate the relationship between exogenous series (24 socioeconomics factors and past MSW amount) and target (MSW amount). The role of Attention, 1D-CNN, LSTM played on the MSW predicted amount also have investigated. The results show that attention is crucial for decoding the encoding information, which would improve performance between predicted and known MSW amount (R2 in A-L-C, L-A-C, L-C-A was 89.45%, 90.77%, and 95.31%, respectively.). CNN modules appear to be positioned similarly across the MSW predicted system. Finally, R2 in L-A-C, A-L-C, and A-C-L was 85.44%, 91.61%, and 89.45%, which suggested that LSTM as an intermediary between CNN and Attention modules seems a wise measure to predict the MSW amount based on the correlation efficiency. In addition, some socioeconomic factors including the average number of people in households and budget revenue may be chosen for the decision-making of MSW management in Shanghai city in the future, according to the weight of neurons in fully connected layers by the visual technology.