Decision-Making Model at the Management of Hybrid Power Grid

Abstract

This paper is devoted to developing a model of decision-making regarding the optimal control of the Hybrid Grid mode parameters, considering the forecast of changes in the parameters of generation and electricity consumption in the Microgrid. The decision-making problem at the management of Hybrid Power Grids is formed in the conditions of uncertainty and incompleteness of the input information. It cannot be considered as an optimization problem but should be evaluated as a multidimensional and multiscale problem. In this research the information support components, arrays of alternative possible regimes have been formed, based on expert evaluation, the decision selection criteria have been defined, fuzzy production rules have been formulated, which consider the operational logic of the hybrid grid. The developed system of fuzzy production rules allows in the functioning process of the Hybrid Power Consumption System to make changes in the mode of operation in order to increase energy savings, resource components of the power consumption system and electricity quality.