DECISION-MAKING PROCESS BY USING THE FORMALIZED METHODS IN THE CONDITIONS OF RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES

Abstract

In this article is discussed management of solving problems and realization of algorithm in MS-Excel in the conditions of risk and uncertainty. Problems of getting settlement in the condition of risks and uncertainty can be defined as a game of two players who gets a settlement (or solve problems) and the other is “nature.” The first player takes some steps, selects alternatives; The second player- “nature” is indifferent towards the first player’s actions but can be one of the players among several situations. The first player must choose alternatives in such a way that increases his reimburse which is generally two changeable function of uncertainty, getting decision bases on the fact, that is unknown probability of different scenery. In the condition of risk getting solution bases on fact, that every situation of events, development can be a giver probability of its realization. This allows you to weigh each meaning of effectiveness and choose a situation for realization with the lowest level. In modern condition it is possible to emphasize that management problem is central as economic as well as from the management point of view. However, trainers of pivotal questions are focused on management phenomenon. It should be remarked that this subject is developed and has accumulated various empirical materials on the bases of which, can be issued for each level of the leaders the recommendations for optimization of management. Some of them work effectively, practically in any situations, but others mainly in definite socio-cultural spheres. In this article based on analyses of motivational and psychological theories there are highlighted the most important principles in management. Also there is noted that the executives should be more communicative. As for management decisions, it may be personality’s cognitive features such are: proffesionalism, characteristics of the situations, systematic thinking, methods of making decisions and also methods of the control and corrections. Keywords : management, solving, uncertainty, risk, realization.