DEALING WITH THE TALIBAN: NEW DELHI’S PREDICAMENTS

Abstract

Since the Taliban’s return to power in Afghanistan (August 2021), the issue of its legitimacy has troubled the international community. However, this has not stopped ‘revisionist’ powers such as China and Russia from engaging with them. With the consolidation of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan, it is evident that New Delhi may have little choice but to grudgingly accept that this oppressive regime is here to stay. This article delves into the reasons behind New Delhi’s choice to participate in “back door diplomacy” and reassess its stance on the Taliban. This article argues that external actors will largely limit India’s influence in Afghanistan. It further suggests that despite New Delhi’s humanitarian approach towards Afghanistan, there is no assurance that the Taliban will respect India’s larger diplomatic goals and national interests. Importantly, the Modi administration must be able to convince its Hindu support base and the opposition parties that working with the Taliban would benefit India in the long run. Given the multitude of factors at play, the significant stakes involved, and the “instability” in the region, New Delhi may face considerable challenges in managing its ties with the Taliban.