Dangerous depths of bifurcation: the rise of “inter-national security narcissists” and undersea cable (dis) connections

Abstract

ABSTRACT This article examines the rising bifurcation in global undersea cable networks amid growing U.S.-China tensions, building on the “weaponized interdependence” (WI) framework. While WI sheds light on how states leverage network centrality for strategic benefits, it falls short of capturing the proactive reshaping of network topologies for national security. We argue this bifurcation fosters parallel, redundant systems that, despite increased costs, enhance control and security. A sequential game model illustrates how U.S. and Chinese security-driven decisions contribute to network divergence, while a hierarchical Q-learning model explores how path dependency and lock-in effects sustain this split. Empirical cases, like the Cap-1 project, demonstrate the practical impact, emphasizing security’s role in reconfiguring global communications infrastructure.