Abstract

BackgroundPatients undergoing curative-intent surgery for hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) malignancies may achieve statistical cure i.e., a mortality risk which aligns with the general population. AimsTo summarize the results of different cure models in HPB malignancies. MethodsWe conducted a systematic literature search and selected studies on curative-intent surgery (hepatic resection, HR, or liver transplantation, LT) for HPB malignancies including a cure model in their analysis. The review protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024528694). ResultsEleven studies reporting a cure model after HPB surgery for malignancy were included: 6 on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) two on biliary tract cancers (BTC), one on pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNET), one on pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), and one on colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). In terms of OS, the cure fraction of HCC is 63.4 %-75.8 % with LT and 31.8 %-40.5 % with HR, achieved within 7.2–10 years and 7–14.4 years respectively. The cure fraction of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is 9.7 % in terms of DFS, but largely depends on tumor stage. PDAC and pNET display a cure fraction of 20.4 % and 57.1 % respectively in terms of DFS, confirming the impact of histotype on DFS. ConclusionStatistical cure for hepato-pancreato-biliary cancers can be achieved with surgery. The probability of cure depends on the interplay between tumor stage and aggressiveness, effectiveness of the surgical treatment and persistence of chronic conditions after surgery.

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