CTTE: Customized Travel Time Estimation via Mobile Crowdsensing

Abstract

Estimating the origin-destination travel time is a fundamental problem in many location-based services for vehicles, e.g., ride-hailing, vehicle dispatching, and route planning. Recent work has made significant progress to accuracy, but they largely rely on GPS trajectories which are too coarse to model many personalized driving behaviors, e.g., differentiating novice and veteran drivers. In this paper, we propose Customized Travel Time Estimation (CTTE) that fuses GPS trajectories, smartphone inertial data, and road network within a deep recurrent neural network. It constructs a road link traffic database with topology representation, speed statistics, and query distribution. It also calibrates inertial readings, estimates the arbitrary phone’s pose in car, and detects multiple aggressive driving events (e.g., bump judders, sharp turns, sharp slopes, frequent lane shifts, overspeeds, and sudden brakes). Finally, we demonstrate our solution on two typical transportation problems, i.e., predicting traffic speed at holistic level and estimating customized travel time at personal level, within a multi-task learning structure. Experiments on two large-scale real-world traffic datasets from DiDi platform show our effectiveness compared with the state-of-the-art.