Abstract

Cryptocurrency has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial landscape, raising questions about its long-term sustainability and impact on traditional financial systems. This research report examines the debate surrounding cryptocurrency, focusing on whether it represents a speculative bubble or a new standard for digital assets. Through a comparative analysis of empirical evidence, theoretical frameworks, and expert opinions, this study aims to provide insights into the dynamics of cryptocurrency markets and their implications for the future of finance. The research begins by reviewing the historical context of cryptocurrency, tracing its origins and evolution from the introduction of Bitcoin in 2009 to the proliferation of alternative cryptocurrencies and blockchain-based applications. It then explores the characteristics of financial bubbles and evaluates whether cryptocurrency exhibits similar patterns of speculative behavior, drawing on insights from economic theory and empirical research. Next, the report examines the arguments supporting cryptocurrency as a new standard for digital assets, emphasizing its potential to democratize access to financial services, promote financial inclusion, and drive innovation in finance and technology. It analyzes the underlying principles of blockchain technology and explores its applications beyond cryptocurrency, such as decentralized finance (DeFi), smart contracts, and tokenization of assets. The study also considers regulatory and policy implications surrounding cryptocurrency, highlighting the challenges faced by regulators in balancing innovation and investor protection. It reviews the regulatory approaches adopted by various jurisdictions and assesses their effectiveness in addressing concerns related to market integrity, consumer safety, and systemic risk. Overall, this research report contributes to the ongoing discourse on cryptocurrency by providing a comprehensive analysis of its status as either a speculative bubble or a new standard for digital assets. By synthesizing empirical evidence, theoretical frameworks, and expert opinions, it offers valuable insights into the potential opportunities and challenges posed by cryptocurrency for the future of finance and the global economy.

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