Crop Production and Global Warming

Abstract

Crop production will be affected by global warming, resulting in world-wide food shortages and starvation. Increased concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2), one of the main substances responsible for global warming, will promote plant growth through intensified photosynthesis. Some reports indicate that a rise in the levels of CO2 would actually benefit plants, rather than harm them. The growth rates of C3 plants increase in response to elevated concentrations of carbon dioxide. Thus, global warming might increase plant growth, because of higher temperatures and higher levels of atmospheric CO2. High atmospheric temperatures caused by elevated concentrations of CO2 will induce heat injury and physiological disorders in some crops, which will decrease the incomes of farmers and agricultural countries. Photosynthesis is one of the most sensitive physiological processes to high temperature stress. Reproductive development is more sensitive than vegetative development to high temperatures, and heat-sensitivity differs among crops. In tomato, the optimal temperature for fruit set was reported as 21–24°C (Geisenberg and Stewart, 1986) or 22–25°C (Peet and Bartholomew, 1996), while pollen viability and release are adversely affected by high temperatures, and become major limiting factors for fruit set. Thus, global warming can have opposite effects on plant growth. From a long-term viewpoint, however, high atmospheric temperatures will drive the main sites of crop production further north, establishing new rules for the ‘right crop for right land’. Water shortages caused by global warming will be the greatest problem for crop production. Plants fundamentally rely on adequate fresh water, and agricultural water accounts for 70% of water use world-wide. As higher temperatures increase evaporation from water sources and decrease precipitation, arid regions will become further desertified. Particularly in semiarid regions, the cultivatable area will decrease because of drought, and this could result in famines and mass migration. As well, it is likely that there will be human conflicts over irrigation water and food. Global warming is thought to be related to strong hurricanes, cyclones, and typhoons. These extreme weather events can seriously damage crop production, and destabilize farm management and the lives of consumers. However, these agricultural problems are most likely to occur in the medium and long-term future. In this chapter, we summarize some of the agricultural problems and crop damage that result from global warming, and present some technical countermeasures (not political and administrative countermeasures) that could be used to ameliorate the effects of global