Criteria air pollutants and diabetes mortality classified by different subtypes and complications: A nationwide, case-crossover study

Abstract

The associations between air pollution and diabetes mortality of different subtypes and complications were largely unclear. We performed an individual-level, time-stratified case-crossover study among over 0.9 million diabetes deaths from all administrative regions of Chinese mainland during 2013–2019. Daily concentrations of fine particles (PM2.5), coarse particles (PM2.5–10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3) were obtained for each decedent using high-resolution prediction models. Conditional logistic regression models were utilized to analyze the data. Each interquartile range increment in PM2.5, PM2.5–10, NO2 and O3 concentrations on lag 0–2 d increased the risks of overall diabetes mortality by 2.81 %, 1.92 %, 3.96 % and 2.15 %, respectively. Type 2 diabetes had stronger associations with air pollution than type 1 diabetes. Air pollutants were associated with diabetic ketoacidosis and diabetic nephropathy, but not other complications. The exposure-response curves were approximately linear with a plateau at higher concentrations of PM2.5, PM2.5–10, and NO2, while the associations for O3 appear to be statistically significant beyond 60 μg/m3. This nationwide study reinforces the evidence of higher risks of acute diabetic events following short-term air pollution exposure. We identified differential effects of air pollutants on various subtypes and complications of diabetes, which require further mechanistic investigations.