Abstract
Based on the data relevant to China’s tourism industry and ecological environment from 2005 to 2018, the entropy method and the coupling coordination degree model were used to analyze the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree of the tourism industry’s development and the ecological environment, and the GM (1.1) gray model was used to predict these values in the future. The model provided predictions and illustrated the trend in the changes in the degree of coordination between the development of China’s tourism industry and the ecological environment for the next five years. The results show the following. (1) The coupling degree between China’s tourism industry and the ecological environment was between 0.3 and 0.5. It was in the low-level coupling stage in 2005 and 2006 and generally low in 2005–2009, lower than the average level of 0.4204. In 2018, the coupling degree between the development of China’s tourism industry and the ecological environment was mainly in a stage of antagonism, reaching a peak of 0.4998 in 2013. The coupling degree declined slightly from 2013 to 2015 and then began to show an upward trend again in 2016. (2) The average coupling coordination level of China’s tourism industry development and ecological environment was 0.4266, which is in the medium coupling coordination stage. From 2007 to 2013, it was mainly in the phase of moderate coupling and coordination and high coupling and coordination from 2014 to 2018. (3) From the prediction results, the coupling degree will enter the coupling degree running-in stage in 2021 and the extreme coordination stage in 2023, but the coupling growth level during the running-in period will be significantly lower than the coupling coordination degree. Coordinated development of the two systems will take a long time, and active economic policies need to be adopted to promote their coordinated development.
Highlights
China’s tourism industry has been developing rapidly since the reform and opening up in the late 1970s, which promoted the growth of the national economy and provided a large number of jobs in society
A coupling relationship exists between the tourism economy and the ecological environment, and the two show the characteristics of mutual influence, mutual restriction, and common development. erefore, constructing an appropriate evaluation index system would provide the basis for evaluating the coordination degree of economic tourism development and the ecological environment
No unified measurement standard exists for the relevant indicators of economic development and resource environmental evaluation [32], and the tourism economy and ecological environment system involve a wide range of indicators, making it impossible to evaluate each one
Summary
China’s tourism industry has been developing rapidly since the reform and opening up in the late 1970s, which promoted the growth of the national economy and provided a large number of jobs in society. With the rapid development of mass tourism, problems including disorderly development and blind planning of tourism resources have become increasingly serious [1]. As one of the main functions of modern cities, is an important means to promote regional economic development and urbanization. E rapid development of the tourism economy produces a series of negative effects on the regional ecological environment. Balancing the relationship between tourism and the ecological environment to attain the sustainable development of tourism is essential to the promotion of regional economic development.
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