Abstract

Analyzing and optimizing the spatio-temporal characteristics of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage, as well as examining their coupling and coordination relationships with industrial mining land and landscape pattern, can become a reference in the pursuit of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality for mining cities. This research takes the typical mining city of Ordos as the study target. Based on the LULC, the Multi-objective Planning (MOP) and Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model are used to predict the LULC under the natural development (Q1), ecological protection (Q2) and economic development (Q3) scenarios of 2030, and the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model is used to analyze the dynamics of carbon storage, finally a coupling coordination of industrial mining land, landscape pattern and carbon storage is constructed to investigate the interrelationship between them. The results show: (1) From 2000 to 2020, carbon storage shows an inverted ‘V’ shape of rising and then falling; (2) Compared to carbon storage in 2020, the Q1 demonstrates a decrease, while the Q2 and Q3 demonstrate increases; (3) From 2000 to 2020, the coupling coordination degree decreases, and in the future, Q2 and Q3 show an increase in it relative to the Q1.

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